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Understand how a business makes money, what drives its earnings, and what could weaken its earning power.
See today’s valuation alongside earnings expectations, historical ranges, and different scenarios.
Follow thesis updates, changing assumptions, and evidence that could prove the investment case wrong.
Meta grew revenue 26% and its shares fell 9.4% as quarterly capital spending reached $35 billion, while chips fell again and the rest of the market rose. Earnings estimates kept rising, and next week Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, Intel and Sandisk report within two days.


The first Free Letter follows a sharp selloff in semiconductors. The question is whether AI earnings expectations have weakened, or investors are paying less for forecasts that still hold.

The index is the bar every pick has to beat, and it’s also where I’ll park the money once I’m done climbing.
New public research and editorial updates, delivered directly by email.